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'Hope' Categories

What are the Odds?

Itís good to have hopeóas long as it has some basis in reality. Attorney Gregory Baer calculated the odds for achieving some of the dreams people hope for:

•What are the odds of dating a supermodel? Assuming there are twenty-five of them, and each of them will date five men per year, and there are 110,000 adult males who will spend ten years seeking to date one, the chances of it happening in that ten-year period are 88,000 to 1. Not very good odds.

•What are the odds of marrying a millionaire? Well, the good news is that there are more of them than everóby 2005 it was estimated that there were about 5.6 million of them in America. The bad news is that 92% of them are married. Which leaves 448,000 single millionaires.

With about 97 million singles (as of the 2000 Census), that makes the odds of marrying a millionaire 215 to 1. Better odds than dating a supermodel, but still not very good.

•What are the odds of becoming a professional athlete? 22,000 to 1. So it will be a good idea to earn a degree while youíre shooting for this goal.

•What about the odds of starting a successful small business? According to the Small Business Administration, one third of new businesses fail in the first two years, half fail within four years, and 60 percent fail within six years.

Human dreams can be dashed. Our Christian hope is secure.

Reference: Gregory Baer, Life: The Odds (and How to Improve Them) (Gotham Books, 2003)